📊 Market & Sector Dynamics

  • The mean reversion trade is in question. $GLD is up 7 months straight, $SLV up 10 months, while $BTC is down 5 months and $ETH down 6 months. 1
  • Solar is a “win-win” sector. It’s the fastest new power source, facing limited political pushback even from Trump voters, suggesting significant upside. 3
  • Fear and doom narratives are selling. Despite AI doomerism exploding, technology innovation consistently yields net positive outcomes. Taking the optimistic stance on AI feels contrarian. 5
  • UBS’s Matt Mish forecasts significant credit market impact from “rapid, aggressive AI disruption.” US high yield, leveraged loan, and private credit default rates could spike to 3–6%, 8–10%, and 14–15%, respectively. Total defaults could near ~$420bn, with losses around ~$300bn. 11

📈 Stock & Trading Insights

  • $GEV proved resilient, holding strong through market volatility. Its performance on weekly timeframes and consistent hold above the 21 EMA on daily charts underscore its strength. 2
  • Wondering if $HIMS finally hit bottom today, signaling a potential turnaround. 4
  • If one entered $HIMS at higher prices ($50, $40, $35, $30, $25, $20), buying at the monthly support of $15 is a logical move. 6
  • $WULF experienced a significant breakout today, indicating clear bullish momentum. 7
  • “Fartcoin” has plunged 94% from its ATH, suggesting the speculative froth has dissipated and the market is rebalancing. 8
  • $TSM hitting a new ATH today could foreshadow tomorrow’s direction for $NVDA. 10
  • $PYPL surged +8% on consecutive buyout rumors, intensifying speculation about the potential acquirer. 12

🤖 AI & Policy Implications

  • President Trump’s upcoming data center energy deals are expected to shift more AI buildout power costs onto hyperscalers. 9