📈 Market Sentiment & Technicals

  • Someone just made a $5,000,000 directional bet on $TSLA with $990 strike calls, signaling massive upside conviction. 1
  • Semiconductors are charting new all-time highs, showcasing absolute and relative strength against the S&P500. 2
  • A Hindenburg Omen just triggered, the 6th in the past month, a frequency last seen in February 2020. 4
  • $PLTR is -38% from its ATHs and nearing a death cross. $SOFI is -43% from its ATHs, also on the verge of a death cross. $HOOD is already -53% from its ATHs and just printed a death cross. While these are lagging indicators, the significant pullbacks suggest caution. 11

💡 AI & Tech Sector Insights

  • AI-driven investment is a historic growth engine for the US economy, with computers and peripheral equipment contributing an unprecedented +0.57 percentage points to real Q4 2025 GDP, marking the 4th consecutive quarter above +0.30 percentage. 3
  • Morgan Stanley’s Feb 24, 2026 report affirms that AI is fueling NAND demand and prices are truly climbing. This validates bullish views on upstream manufacturers like #SNDK and #MU, who dictate pricing, while downstream module makers face compressing margins. 7
  • $AXON is posting wild numbers, adding ~$3B in contracted bookings in a single quarter, almost half of its total ~$7B backlog from less than two years ago. Draft One and other AI tools are clearly driving higher ACVs and extended contract terms. 12
  • While attention is fixed on data center servers and power consumption, a quiet revolution is unfolding in the consumer market. SanDisk’s Feb 24, 2026 press release on next-gen portable SSDs repeatedly emphasized “AI Developed Content”, highlighting a critical, under-observed trend. 13
  • Jim Cramer cornered #AMD’s Lisa Su with a sharp question regarding its META deal: why did #AMD grant equity when #NVDA and #GLW did not? 15

🚀 Company Deep Dives

  • $MELI trades at the same ~$1,900/share as five years ago, despite its business transformation: GMV surged from ~$21B to ~$65B, and annual profit from ~$1.7B to ~$12.9B. Same price, fundamentally a different company. 6
  • $ZETA is impressive, achieving profitability while projecting ~40% growth for Q1. 8
  • #TMDX delivered a stellar Q4 2025, with revenue of $160.8 million (beating $155.98 million expected) representing 32% YoY growth, and EPS of $2.62 (crushing $0.39 expected). Gross margin hit 58%, cash $488.4 million. Their 2026 FY revenue guidance of $727 million to $757 million (vs. $725 million expected), indicating 20% to 25% YoY growth, signals strong momentum. 9
  • #MELI Q4 earnings revealed $8.8 billion net revenue (beating $8.5 billion expected), with a $12.5 billion credit portfolio. However, net profit of $559 million (below $587 million expected) and EBIT of $889 million (below $891 million expected) led to the stock being hammered despite otherwise decent figures. 10
  • During the recent earnings call Q&A, Kratos CEO Eric DeMarco directly dismissed competitive doubts regarding the Gauntlet program, emphatically stating: “We are the winner of the initial phase.” 19

🌎 Macro & Global Trends

  • Based on the average duration of 894 days for Bitcoin to reclaim prior ATHs after 4-year cycle bear markets, and currently on day 142, a new ATH isn’t expected for some time. 5
  • China’s gold reserves are at an unprecedented high, surging +15.7% MoM in January to a record $369.6 billion. This marks the 8th consecutive monthly increase, with reserves up +$266.9 billion, or +260%, since October 2022. 14
  • Many investors misread the gold-commodity relationship, but gold often leads the broader resource markets, making its current trajectory a critical signal. 16
  • Cracks are widening in the US private credit industry as the Business Development Companies Index plunges to 424 points, marking the lowest level since the 2022 bear market bottom. 17
  • Foreign investors are piling into Japanese government bonds at a record clip, with open interest in Japan’s 20Y government bond futures spiking to an all-time high of 44,093 contracts last week. 18