📈 Market Trends & Macro Insights

  • SaaS and tech growth stocks like Sofi (-27%), Hood (-33%), PLTR (-27%), AMZN (-9%), and MSFT (-18%) have significantly underperformed YTD, contrasting with stable ETF portfolios such as SPY (0.65%), SPMO (0.4%), and QQQ (-0.24%) 1.
  • Market sentiment for $NVDA is overwhelmingly bullish pre-earnings, with concerns regarding potential contrarian views 4.
  • The market presents conflicting signals: $SPY exhibits late IV crush exhaustion, $GLD shows parabolic basing, $IGV is “death bottoming,” while $SMH continues its rally. Despite a massive breadth correction across $RSP / $MGK, classic late-cycle fragility persists 7.
  • Strong bullish sentiment for $NVDA ahead of tonight’s earnings 11.
  • Ponders if Nvidia will be the catalyst to save the broader tech sector 15.
  • Expresses strong enthusiasm for $NVDA’s performance 17.

💡 Stock-Specific Analysis & Performance

  • #FIG has started generating profit 2.
  • Don’t be misled by $MSFT’s ~30% drawdown; the business fundamentals remain robust, projecting ~$17B in revenue 6.
  • $AA is poised for a high-probability breakout and further ascent 9.
  • $TTD’s -10% drop to a $22 handle prompts a harsh, negative evaluation 12.
  • $CRM’s -4.5% after-hours drop post-earnings is deemed “not terrible” 13.
  • $NVDA reported a “monster quarter,” with 4Q revenue of $68.1B (vs. $65.91B est.) and a strong 1Q revenue guide of $76.44B–$79.56B (vs. $72.78B est.), signaling further upside 16.
  • $NVDA “delivered,” exceeding expectations with $68B revenue (vs. $66B est.), $1.62 EPS (vs. $1.54 est.), and $62B from Data Center (vs. $60B est.), maintaining 75% gross margins. Q1 guidance projects $78B revenue (vs. $72B est.), notably without assuming any Data Center compute revenue from China 18.

💰 Trading & Investment Strategies

  • $JPM confirms a daily reversal off its 200-day moving average, aligning with a clear risk profile 3.
  • HODLing crypto, leveraging volatility as fuel, selling options for yield, and compounding coins makes every price fluctuation a chance to accumulate. Bear markets are prime accumulation windows for $BTC 5.
  • $UBER CFO’s recent purchase of $1.6M in stock signals a potential “tail the whale” opportunity 8.
  • Entering $NVDA earnings play by selling out-of-the-money PCS (Put Credit Spreads) for “skin in the game” 10.
  • $UBER’s CFO purchased $1.5M in shares yesterday, suggesting a strong bullish signal, as insiders typically buy when they have confidence in the company’s financials 14.