$NVDA is still fundamentally undervalued despite the rally. With Q4 revenue at $68.1B and EPS at $1.62, the 73% YoY growth is massive. Forward PE will likely drop below 20 by 2028, with daily profits hitting $1B. A fair valuation sits between $200-$250, supported by a PEG of 0.8. 1028
$NVDA’s Q1 revenue guidance is roughly 4% higher than the most aggressive buy-side estimates, signaling that market expectations still need to catch up. 30
Meta is executing a major strategic pivot by bypassing $NVDA to lease and potentially buy billions in Google TPUs. This marks a significant shift in the AI infrastructure moat. 29
The semiconductor supercycle is accelerating. Samsung is in “speed mode” at its Pyeongtaek campus, while supply chain tightness in NAND is forcing clients like Phison to prepay for steady supply. 1618
Market leverage is entering a danger zone. US margin debt hit a record $1.28 trillion in January, with a 36% YoY jump reminiscent of the 2021 meme stock frenzy. 25
Inflation has effectively wiped out American purchasing power. Real weekly earnings have only increased 3.7% since 2020, barely keeping pace with the cost of living. 21
If the AI “doom loop” triggers deficits reaching 15-20% of GDP, expect a massive flight to safety with Gold potentially mooning to $10,000. 9
Watch for the “Earnings Retrace” play. $CVNA and $TTD both recovered 20%+ drops almost instantly. $DUOL, down 22% today, is the prime candidate for a similar bounce-back. 27
The bearish sell-off in crypto seems exhausted. Expect a period of sideways consolidation or a relief rally to the mid-70s, though a rejection there is likely given the heavy bearish bias in spot and futures. 22
Keep an eye on “VIX Crush Fridays” (VCF). While a repeat tomorrow is questionable, the pattern has been dominant for the past three weeks. 2
$CIFR is rebranding to Cipher Digital, pivoting from pure mining to becoming a “landlord” for AI utilities. 15
Management cleanup is the new trend. Jack Dorsey’s 40% headcount cut at Block follows Elon Musk’s 80% slash at X, targeting chronic overstaffing in tech. 3
Specific plays showing technical strength: $UMAC and $RCAT for drones; $AA (retest) and $CMCL (setup) for commodities. 131420