📈 Market Trend & Outlook

Recent market performance has been flat: $SPY buyers in October 2025 and $QQQ buyers in September 2025 are breakeven today, even with dividends. 7
Geopolitical tensions are already priced in: US pre-market futures are trading the Middle East situation. Demand clear resolution. 14
Economic data re-accelerates: Despite “vibecession” narratives linked to AI, Chicago PMI numbers are blowout, with economic data showing re-acceleration over the last two months. 18
Bearish market signals: Watch XLY:XLP, HYG:IEI, and SPHB:SPLV as key bearish charts for stocks. 19
Agentic AI is deflationary. 21
Peculiar market dynamic: PPI came in hot, yet yields dropped. 26
Potential top signal? 9
$SPX monthly pattern: Green on 4 of the last 5 first trading days of the month; watching March’s opener. 30

💡 Sector & Stock Insights

Silver targets $100. We’re minting. 10
Initiating a small position in $NVDA commons; looking for a green day. 11
$NVDA market cap cratered: Since Wednesday’s earnings peak, $NVDA shed almost $600B high to low, equivalent to an entire $XOM. 20
Silver’s technical strength: Silver is +25% above its 50 SMA, confirming a breakout. 23
$AAOI win: Hit the $64 target and approaching the second. Big win. 25
Short $DUOL: If AI can vibe code with efficiency, Duolingo is headed to zero. 27
$DUOL underperformance: $10K in $DUOL a year ago is now worth $2,640. 28
Back in $RKT Rocket Companies. 29

Gaining following: Scaring everyone is the easiest route. Expert fear-mongers know this. 4
More Point and Figure (PnF) charts are critical for analysis. 16
Valuation psychology: A 25% drop is “value,” 40% is “deep value,” but 60%+ leads to continuous adding driven by anxiety. Overvalued stocks hold due to demand; undervalued remain ignored. 17
Trading is psychological warfare: Consolidation is torture, selling guarantees breakout, and holding forever yields nothing. 22