📈 Market Sentiment & Macro View

Market shows irrationality as $WMT sees +3% on 40 P/E, while $NVDA drops -3% on 22 P/E 1.
Current chop-chop market is frustrating; a decisive $VIX breakout or tank is needed to end this sideways curse 2.
February 2026 for $QQQ aligns with its historical tendency as a statistically bad month, adding to negative stats 3.
$NVDA suffered a nasty close 4.
Markets chose violence, ending the week with a sharp sell-off 5.
January was excellent, February was bad; that’s market life. Now we look to March 6.

💡 Trading Psychology & Risk Management

Took a loss on $SOFI twice in 2026, cutting it loose. It’s going back on the watchlist for now 7.
Win rate for 2026 is 73% / 27% loss, lower than last year, due to trading in “chop chop” conditions. Patience and slowing down trades are key 8.
Cutting a loss is crucial; refusing to exit a bad trade transforms it into a disaster 9.
Capital protection ensures staying in the game long-term. Small losses are market tuition; pay them quickly to avoid larger fees 10.
Market challenges require active engagement and responsibility, not passive blame. You drown by refusing to swim 11.

Initiating a $BABA swing trade; stock is at 6-month lows, Daily RSI lowest since April 2025 tariffs, candlesticks outside lower Bollinger Bands, and just cracked below 200dma 12.
$NVDA LPU sram fears at GTC might shake out crowded memory trades like $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung, but this is not an end-of-cycle event 13.
CoreWeave (#CRWV) operates on a “race against time” model: leveraging orders to borrow capital, requiring rapid delivery to recoup funds, service debt, and manage depreciation 14.

Long crude oil positions serve as a tail risk hedge against extreme scenarios: a failed US strike on Iran leading to Strait blockades and Gulf oil depot attacks, causing a complete supply disruption 15.
President Trump’s ban on federal agencies using Anthropic’s technology could ironically boost interest and adoption among others 16.