📈 Market Outlook & Technicals

• $USO is on the cusp of a slingshot move after four years of consolidation. 1
• $TMDX shows a daily chart flag breakout post-earnings. 2
• $XRT, the retail ETF, remains extremely tight. 3
• $SBUX daily chart looks sharp. 4
• $BW, a former leader, has pulled back to its 50 EMA. 5
• $EGO is a compelling gold play; its daily chart is sweet. 6
• Healthcare sector showing strong setups, specifically $LLY. 7
• $AMD daily chart is bear-flagging, trading below both 50 and 100 EMAs. 8
• $ROBT, the Nasdaq AI and robotics ETF, summarizes current tech sentiment, bear-flagging below its EMAs. 9

💻 Tech & AI Insights

• Samsung’s S26 stabilization technology is set to hammer the action camera market. 10
• AI software is actively defining geopolitical battlegrounds. The “Roaring Lion” operation is potentially the first AI-led decapitation strike in human history, leveraging:
  • Palantir for battleground OS (AIP, Gotham).
  • SpaceX for battlefield super broadband (Starshield, MILNET satellite constellation).
  • Claude for superior decision analysis (Claude Gov).
  • Anduril and Shield are also in play. 12
• ASML revenue from TSMC peaked in CY23 at €8.8B (24% of total). Despite a 47% decline in CY24, revenue rebounded, though still 11% shy of the peak. ASML eyes gains from TSMC’s ‘26 rebound, with nearly €39B in backlog. 13
• Samsung execs are pushing to use Exynos chips across all Galaxy lineups. This move could signal a phase-out for Qualcomm’s ($QCOM) Snapdragon. 15

🌍 Geopolitical & Industry Shifts

• Defense stocks are poised for a Monday rally, likely spurred by geopolitical events. Keep an eye on $ONDS, $KTOS, and $AVAV. 11
• The Palau-flagged tanker “Skylight” was attacked near the Strait of Hormuz. This signals the IRGC’s blockade warning is now an active threat and carries more strategic weight than the demise of Khamenei. 14