Market participants in $CL are adept at ‘selling the fact/news’ 1.
Geopolitics, macro cycles, and market panic are beyond control; positions and emotions are what we manage. Noise obscures short-term prices but cannot erase true value. Quality companies consistently generate cash flow, products, users, and future growth – a core tenet for long-term holders 2.
Current market reactions in stocks, crypto, and metals suggest “weekend events” were not a complete surprise or “black swan” event, implying some anticipation in pricing 4.
S&P 500 ($SPX, $SPY) is expected to see one more upward pop before a subsequent downturn, aligning with a “textbook” pattern 6.
Missed a short-term trade opportunity on $AAOI around February 5th/6th when it retested its weekly Cup & Handle breakout level. Should have set alerts regardless of fundamental conviction 7.
US-Iran tensions may trigger a market dip, which I view as a buying opportunity. Short-term macro-driven sell-offs are decoupled from the fundamentals of strong companies like Nvidia and Zeta. I accumulated Nvidia at $180, targeting $170 for further additions 3.
While many are eyeing crude oil amidst the Iran situation, I favor oil stocks, particularly Chevron. The rationale is twofold: it capitalizes on rising oil prices and uniquely benefits from Venezuelan oil extraction, given its historical operational presence there 8.
Memory prices have climbed for 11 consecutive months, with a peak potentially nearing for general memory. However, SSD prices are still poised for continued increases, impacting PC build costs 11.