⚔️ Geopolitics & Commodities Strategy

• Long Crude Oil ($CL) or oil companies hedges against tail risk. Focus on near-month, deep OTM options for high-impact, small-bet positions. 10
• LNG market has a few weeks of buffer. Post-winter, heating demand drops, and spring is off-season. Europe typically restocks from April. LNG is trickier than oil. 12
• Iran escalation poses risks to the Strait of Hormuz, potentially disrupting Qatar’s LNG exports, which could tighten global helium supply. 29

💼 Insider Trading & Market Reaction

• $SOFI CEO Anthony Noto followed through on his promise, buying $1M in shares on the first trading day of March, triggering a +3% intraday rally and +2% after-hours. 17

💡 Semiconductor & Tech Sector Picks

• Recommends $AXTI, a major InP substrate producer for optical modules. Notes Sumitomo Electric and JX Nippon Mining & Metals as key competitors. 16

📈 Semiconductor & Tech Sector Trends

• Surging memory chip and component costs will hike new smartphone model prices in China by 15%-25% starting March, with further adjustments expected. 21

📊 Market Volatility & Broader Market

• $VIX has surged 7 of the last 8 weeks, hitting a 3.5-month high of 25.24 and trending up since December 2025 lows. Despite this, $SPX is less than 2% from ATHs, flagging a clear divergence. 24

🧠 Market Sentiment & Reaction

• Today’s market heatmap shows indifference, implying weekend events had no impact. 27

🧘 Trading Psychology & Strategy

• Limiting trading setups to two monitors cuts noise and confusion, preventing hesitation, chasing trades, or breaking rules. 30