Gold’s counterintuitive fall amidst war escalation emphasizes anchoring to a long-term macro view over short-term volatility. Maintaining only a marginal allocation to Gold and broader commodities is advised 1, 13.
US oil prices have fully erased Trump-era losses, now up +$23/barrel since December. Markets are pricing in extended crude supply disruptions, causing US gas prices to surge over the last 2 months 5.
$INTC’s new Xeon 6+ “Clearwater Forest” CPU built on Intel 18A validates its foundry process, providing crucial “proof-of-execution” to attract external customers 7.
The emergence of “X money” (payment system) is likely detrimental for Paypal ($PYPL) and Block4.
$CRCL’s business model benefits from geopolitical conflict. Inflation driven by conflict leads to sustained or rising interest rates, which are favorable for its interest-earning operations, even with de-escalation 14.
$MSFT shows strong resilience in a weak market, holding well near the $400 level 2.
Watching $W for a break and sustained hold above 74.67, then 74.79; it has already filled a previously identified small gap 6, 8.
$SOFI is tapping the 10ema, eyeing gap fills at 18.97 and then 19.19 10.
Holding $CRM, observing the $200 level after price reclaimed yesterday’s high 11.
$RKLB exhibited follow-through, crossing 10/21ma’s, with 74ish as the next target 15.
In the current market, the strategy demands avoiding chasing, swift profit-taking, incorporating hedging, and maintaining high cash levels. The market offers “little give & too much take” 12.
A consistent trading system involves taking early profits (“paydays”) on stocks like $ASTS and $RKLB, then settling into a “full swing” position with a secured cushion, staying consistent through market turmoil 3, 15.