Venture Capital Index bled over 30% from peak, signaling the entire curveāshort and long endāis set for a significant grind lower. 6
$VIX spiked to its highest close since Nov 20th 2025. This date previously marked the $SPX low before a 5.5% melt-up. 7
Nasdaq nearing the 200-day SMA, a critical line in the sand. A breach below guarantees more downside. 4
Broad market showing technical weakness: $IWM, $DIA, $SPY are all underwater on the 50dma. $QQQ also below 50dma and knocking on the 200dmaās door. $MAGS already broke both. 9
$EWY (Korea market) needs 1-3 more sessions to finish its chop, then expect a tradeable bounce. 10
China-Iran trade is cooling: Chinaās 2025 exports to Iran plunged to a 11-year low of $6.93 billion, a -63% drop from 2017ās ~$18.65 billion peak. Imports from Iran also hit $3.04 billion. 5