💡 Semiconductor & Tech Outlook

$MRVL is a buy at current levels, bullish for S&P 500 inclusion and a near-term move north of $100. 引用[1]
CXMT is gaining traction; watch this space as Chinese firms boost their use of CXMT DRAM. 引用[17]
HBM thickness relaxation is gaining momentum, signaling a potential hit to hybrid bonding technology. 引用[19]
Rerating Hanmi Semiconductor: TC bonders may remain key for HBM5, largely due to TSMC’s packaging strategy, countering previous expectations for hybrid bonding. 引用[20]
The ABF substrate market, specifically for Unimicron, shows clients locking in long-term agreements, anticipating a 2027 supply shortage. Expect an additional price hike in March. 引用[23]
$AVGO Q1 2026 earnings were a strong print; reviewing the report is a must. 引用[16]

📈 Market Sentiment & Strategy

A late-day bounce lifted the S&P 500, but underlying sentiment remains weak. 引用[4]
The options market shows extreme bearishness: S&P 500 3-month put-call skew is at ~0.50, a near 3-year high. 引用[24]
To cap the crude rally, the US Treasury should tap Jane Street for daily 10 AM shorts. 引用[6]

$HOOD is fumbling: the sale of a $3,000 chair, totaling ~$3,500 after tax and shipping, is a tone-deaf move. Company credibility takes a hit. 引用[5], 引用[7]

Sticking with gpix and gpiq ETFs; their proven track record and Goldman Sachs backing outweigh newer contenders that are less than one year old and have inferior YTD returns. 引用[22]

AI “super individuals” are emerging: one delivered a robust drug prediction AI model, showcasing leverage even with significant downtime, despite external perceptions of inactivity. 引用[18]

China’s 2026 “Two Sessions” target reveals a quietly aggressive 3.8% unit emissions cut. This policy pivot from energy consumption control to emission control, while aiming to avoid 2021’s drama, will inevitably ripple across the economy. 引用[27]
Tracking Bitget’s tokenized stock volumes maps crypto capital flight and investor preferences as they transition into US equities. 引用[21]