VIX historically backed off from “28-29ish” levels, raising questions if the current push signals a move to “30-40”. Market psychology shows selling fear is easier than buying it. [1](https://x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/2029919958822703279)
VIX could hit its highest close since April 2025; weekend close is key. [8](https://x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/2029931138119258212)
Conditions are “royally cooked,” no sugarcoating. [3](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029923222964289794)
Investor psychology is fluid: seek dips on hot stocks, then demand lower when they fall. [5](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029927379607638037)
Capital preservation is paramount; not losing money sometimes feels better than making it. Focus on navigating current events. [14](https://x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/2029935915276325348)
Critiques the shifting market breadth narrative: from 2023-2025, bad breadth was dismissed, good breadth praised. In 2026, good breadth is healthy, implying bad breadth should be unhealthy, exposing inconsistent rule-setting. [15](https://x.com/itsatrap2025/status/2029941129840378342)
Surging oil prices will corner the Fed. [4](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029925380010942521)
Macro alarms are blaring: 2nd largest monthly job loss post-pandemic, oil prices up +60% in 4 months to a 2-year high, gas up +20% since December 2025, US PPI inflation highest since July 2025, and 10Y Note Yield jumped +20. [9](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2029933520626348114)
The Fed’s recent balance sheet expansion (RMP) shows effect, with bank reserves and USD liquidity rebounding from a three-year low. However, liquidity hasn’t normalized to the past three-year range ($2.8 trillion low, $3.6 trillion high, $3.2 trillion median). [13](https://x.com/qinbafrank/status/2029935652574482834)
US oil prices are projected to crack $100/barrel this month, with markets pricing a 66% chance. This level was last seen in July 2022. [16](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2029942999585587328)
The “Conflict Playbook” is progressing: oil hitting $90/barrel and gas up +20% indicates markets are pricing in prolonged disruption, aligning with Step #6. Duration is the next big unknown. [20](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2029948971427238378)
BTC saw a -5% flush, consolidating between $75k and $60k, indicating range-bound chops. [2](https://x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/2029923032853364888)
A pattern emerges this week: weak open, fine close. Watching if this trend holds today. [7](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029930309815566547)
$UMAC is signaling a big breakout; a hold above 14.4 suggests further upside. [18](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029948275521159308)
Nasdaq is stuck in a 4% range since Feb, showing daily long wick action. Buyers consistently step in at key support, yet the next directional move is opaque. [22](https://x.com/Prof_heist/status/2029951982245646842)
After a nearly +39% win, $GNRC is back on the watch list. [10](https://x.com/SunriseTrader/status/2029933849086664823)
$RKLB remains in a choppy base and is back on the radar, watching the 74.86 level. [11](https://x.com/SunriseTrader/status/2029935232930201863)[12](https://x.com/SunriseTrader/status/2029940874566848806)
The space economy is ripping, with $RKLB and $ASTS leading the charge. [17](https://x.com/StockSavvyShay/status/2029946236242120901)
Top 8 contenders for S&P 500 inclusion today post-bell are: $SOFI, $MRVL, $VEEV, $LITE, $COHR, $RDDT, $VRT, and $LNG. [21](https://x.com/StockSavvyShay/status/2029950946554565096)
The semiconductor supply chain is a US strategic weapon. China, despite ambition, lacks the infrastructure layer; $NVDA alone is valued approximately 70x China’s largest AI firm, Cambricon. [23](https://x.com/StockSavvyShay/status/2029957160827068844)
Equities are more skittish than bonds regarding private credit risks. Credit spreads show minimal deterioration, though off early 2025 lows, even for lowest quality high yield bonds. [19](https://x.com/GinaMartinAdams/status/2029948588499898691)