📊 Market Indices & Macro View

S&P 500 is down 0.22% YTD, Nasdaq is down 2%, and the Magnificent Seven (MAGS) are down 7% over the same period. The Mag7 were the hardest hit, excluding crypto and growth stocks 1.
Nasdaq 100, being tech-heavy, contrasts with the broader, more diversified S&P 500. This explains the Nasdaq’s 2% drop while the S&P 500 remains largely flat 2.
The S&P 500’s trading range for the first 41 days of 2026 is only 2.7%, the narrowest on record since 1928. This is also tighter than any Dow Jones trading range since 1896, marking an unprecedented market 3.
Currently observing more upside tail risk than downside, with price action confirming this sentiment. A clearer market picture is expected next week 4.

📈 Stock & Sector Insights

$PBR shows a monthly breakout, now 23% higher in March. A target of $30 is feasible if the stock holds above $18 5.
$AMPX is forming a Cup & Handle breakout pattern, with $25 identified as a reasonable price target 6.
$ZETA experienced a failed breakout in January, pulling back to the $14s. Following the adage that ‘failed moves come fast moves,’ the stock has since made progress, with price holding 7.
$PLTR has retested $160. Buying around $130 just 12 days prior proved to be an optimal entry point for bottom-fishing 8.
$TTD’s CEO presents a strong bull case for his $150M share purchase, citing Deal Desk AI’s ability to analyze 20M ad opportunities per second, chatbot-driven ad inventory expansion, and a view that $AMZN DSP is overrated 9.
S&P 500 index inclusions are typically announced on the first Friday of March, June, September, and December. Potential candidates for this cycle include VRT, CIEN, SOFI, AFRM, and ALNY. $SOFI currently trades below $20, representing a decline of over 30% from its peak 10.

Oil historically exhibits significant volatility, with spectacular rises and falls, particularly evident during the GFC 11.
Doubt exists that Gulf countries are desperately buying $CL to force Trump’s hand. Expect “boots on the ground” action soon 12.

Margin can be problematic. $CL options offer 23-hour trading, enabling reaction to Asian/Middle Eastern events that holding $USO might miss 13.
Restraint is a key trading edge; avoid forcing trades or revenge trading, especially during parabolic oil spikes or choppy market conditions. The market opportunities will persist 14.
Maintaining trade plan discipline is crucial. The last hour of Friday is notably challenging for avoiding micromanagement 15.
Always prioritize profit-taking and adhere to profit discipline 16.