🌍 Macroeconomics & Market Outlook

  • Global investors are dumping Asian stocks (excluding China), with outflows hitting -$11.0 billion this week, the largest weekly outflow since March 2022, excluding 2020 pandemic and 2022 bear markets. 1
  • The oil VIX spiked to its highest level since 2010 (excluding COVID), yet the S&P remains near record highs, signaling a market disconnect in risk pricing. 2
  • Job vacancies in finance and insurance plummeted in December, down 117,000 to 134,000 positions, marking the lowest since February 2012. Since peaking in 2022, these sectors have shed 410,000 vacancies (a 75% drop), now below 2001 recession levels. 3
  • US stock market futures opened sharply lower (S&P 500: -1.7%, Nasdaq 100: -1.7%, Dow Jones: -2.0%) as oil prices continued their rally, up +53% since March 1st, weighing on market sentiment. 4
  • Sustained US oil prices above $110/barrel for 3 months could push US CPI inflation to ~3.5%, reaching its highest point since March 2024, according to model projections. 5
  • Crude oil is nearing $110, up ~$50 in the last month. Goldman Sachs projects a sustained $10 increase in oil prices over three months could drive US CPI inflation to around 3% by May. 6

📊 Stock Specifics & Valuation

  • $AVGO shows incredible transformation, revenue surging from ~$25B to ~$68B and profit from ~$5B to ~$34B over five years. 7
  • $INTC is setting up at the top of a big base, a potential bullish signal, backed by key shareholders like Nvidia, SoftBank, and the U.S. Government. 8
  • As of March 2026, Magnificent Seven forward P/E ratios are notable: $META (21.3x-21.8x), $NVDA (22.1x-22.4x), $MSFT (20.8x-21.5x), $GOOGL (26.1x), $AMZN (27.1x-27.6x), $AAPL (29.7x-32.1x). $TSLA stands out with a staggering P/E of 192.3x-216.8x, far exceeding the general average of 23.5x for its peers. 9
  • $HIMS carries a 40% short interest, positioning it for a potential short squeeze or extreme volatility. 10
  • Covered call strategies for low-beta stocks like Google (beta near 1) are generally unproductive due to limited premium generation; direct stock ownership is often superior. 11

🌐 Future Tech & Crypto Landscape

  • $CRCL and Stripe are pioneering next-gen payment systems for an AI-driven economy, where autonomous agents will transact millions daily using stablecoins, displacing credit cards. 12
  • Bitcoin plunged below $66,000, triggering $140 million in leveraged liquidations within minutes, directly correlating with the sharp sell-off in US stock market futures. 13

🗺️ Geopolitical Insights

  • Mojtaba’s succession in Iran lacks religious legitimacy, driven by IRGC hardliners, signaling a future reliance on the Revolutionary Guard Corps and inherent legitimacy challenges. 14