Precious metals rally is “bizarre” given perceived war’s end, with miners and Latin American stocks making solid moves. Oil and gas equities show resilience despite energy price volatility, suggesting under-ownership of hard assets. 1
US oil prices tumbling over -16%, falling below $80/barrel, signals a rapid unwind of geopolitical risk premiums, with the oil market “pricing in” a war’s end. 2
The US Energy Secretary deleting an X post about a US Navy oil tanker escort through the Strait of Hormuz immediately correlated with oil prices rebounding above $80/barrel, suggesting market sensitivity to geopolitical information transparency. 7
Oil prices ripped above $85/barrel, surging +$10/barrel in just 50 minutes, after reports indicated Iran might be deploying mines in the Strait of Hormuz. 10
Unprecedented volatility in oil, seeing a -$10/barrel fall followed by an +$11/barrel surge within 2 hours, now nearing $90/barrel. 12
Political dynamics characterized by “Trump Always Chickens Out” (TACO) versus “Give Us All Chaos” (GUAC) from Iran. 13
The US asking Israel to halt strikes on Iranian oil infrastructure signals a potential pivot, with reports indicating a Trump administration might seek cooperation with Iran’s oil sector post-conflict. 15
Watching three critical technical levels for $CL: the $90-92 range (lower gap boundary), the 5D EMA at $85, and $78.5 (last year’s high breakout point), before initiating any long or short positions. 18
Following reports of a US warship traversing the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices plunged on hopes of a war’s end; however, the subsequent deletion of the US Energy Secretary’s tweet announcing this event casts doubt on market optimism. 19
$CRM’s $200 roll remains a persistent headache; holding the position. 3
$DDOG looks to be forming a base; managing risk with stops set at various levels to accommodate potential pullbacks. Optimal scenario sees the 10/21ma’s and the base break area holding. 4
Watching $GOOGL for a close above the 21ma, stop unchanged. 5
$INTC broke out of its base today, clearing all major moving averages; maintaining position. 8
SK Hynix is reportedly paying ~20% above list price for $ASML EUV lithography tools to speed up delivery, a strong signal from a leading HBM supplier. 6
OpenAI reportedly walked from its Oracle deal, preferring $NVDA’s Ruben data centers over Blackwell, underscoring fundamental differences in data center architectures critical for their needs. 14
$META’s acquisition of Moltbook on March 10, 2026, highlights a shift towards a “Third Space”—a social network designed for AI agents to interact, negotiate, and even transact. 20
A full-year trading range for $SPX between 6,500-7,100 is considered unlikely but “not improbable.” 16
Year-to-date, observed wild trough-to-peak swings in 2.5 months: $VIX +137%, $USO +80%, $SLV +71%, and $EWY +59%. 23
VIX pared losses from -15% to -2%, failing to hit the 21 level. $QQQ got rejected at its 21EMA, while $SPY nearly tagged its 21EMA. A VIX rule suggested a 1.5%$SPX move, which printed 1.3%. 24