Sideways markets are more dangerous for undisciplined traders than downtrends; they create an illusion of opportunity due to constant back-and-forth, unlike downtrends where it’s easier to stop trading 2.
SPX bulls performed well, bouncing the index when it seemed poised for a waterfall decline 9.
Futures for $SPY and $QQQ are significantly off their lows; awaiting if bulls can achieve a gap fill today 28.
Bitcoin has largely shrugged off today’s Iran news. This resilience might be the subtle cue equity bulls are seeking 29.
Creating panic is far easier than alleviating it. Oil prices are now seeing an uplift after a 2-day decline 5.
Following recent bombings, there’s an unspoken plea: “Don’t bomb the stock market” 11.
Geopolitical “TACO” is still unconfirmed. A resolution could involve a military cleanup within 2-3 weeks, or a “real TACO” deal with IRGC only after $CL breaks above $12012.
Chime (#CHYM) faces considerable future challenges, despite current profitability, due to macroeconomic conditions (recent private placements, economic downturn) 15.
Truflation’s report of US inflation at merely 1.21% raises eyebrows 19.
The Middle East conflict’s immediate impact on Taiwan Semiconductors’ natural gas or helium supply is minimal. Taiwan’s energy provider, Taipower, is actively seeking alternative natural gas sources (USA, Australia) to diversify its ~40% natural gas-dependent electricity supply 23.
Iran’s ceasefire demands (Middle East troop withdrawal, sanctions lift, reparations, and security guarantees) are likely unacceptable to Trump, presenting a significant dilemma for a breakthrough 26.
The perceived ubiquity of Tesla Cybercab prototypes, with one observer estimating over 100 units, suggests a significant presence before mass production 4.
Google’s deployment of CXL controllers to address memory shortages suggests CXL technology is far from “dead” 17.
DRAM prices have surged 180%, with commodity DRAM and NAND prices roughly tripling around China’s Lunar New Year. Analysts project memory shortages will persist at least through the second half of next year 20.
Samsung Display is significantly expanding its role in Apple’s supply chain, covering everything from entry-level displays to foldable panels 24.
The initial panel volume Samsung Display is set to supply for Apple’s foldable phone has grown to 20 million units, approximately 20% above the prior forecast of 13-15 million units. The Apple foldable supply chain warrants close monitoring 25.
Questioning if Nvidia’s current price of $185 is undervalued given analyst consensus EPS of $8.25 by 2026-end, representing over 70% growth from 202527.
$ARKK faces significant resistance at current levels; not entering long on speculative plays until it breaks higher 6.
Similar to ARKK, $MAGS also encounters substantial resistance 7.
Anticipating an oil bounce for $USO either tomorrow or Thursday 8.
Based on $CL refusing to break below $78.5, a second leg up is probable. Initiated a hedge in $UCO after $CL broke $92 (upper range). Expecting $CL to target $100 or $120 next 10.