Underestimation of a coming “memory shock” is likely. If Samsung (with in-house fabs) fears Galaxy business losses, other brands like Xiaomi or Dell face a harder hit 2.
Sustained US oil prices above $95/barrel for 3 months would hike US CPI inflation to ~3.2%, highest since May 2024 6.
$AAOI is severely overvalued. Last year’s promised 10k 800G optical modules for $AWS still not test-passed. The recent $200 million 1.6T order was for $oracle, not a new win 1.