🚨 Hedges, ignored two weeks ago, are now in demand, signaling a shift to worry. 1
The last monster $VIX Crush Friday was Feb 6th, marking a notable gap. 2
Market’s a chop-fest, better to sit out for clarity. Trying too hard leads to getting chopped; good trades flow naturally. 3
$VIX has shown a steep, sustained uptrend since end of December 2025, unusual compared to past uptrends. 4
$SPY and $DIA are setting lowest closes since Nov 2025 today, with $QQQ and $IWM also nearing that level. All 4 major indices are now red year-to-date. 5
🛢️ Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) release is bullish for oil companies by securing long-term demand. 6
Iran war causing the largest historical disruption to oil supplies: Gulf producers cut at least 10mn barrels/day, driving production to a four-year low. 7
Russia is bagging an extra $150 million daily from oil sales, thanks to the Iran war’s price hikes, projecting up to $5 billion in additional revenue by month-end. 8
✈️ Airlines ($JETS, $LUV, $AAL, $UAL, $DAL, $JBLU) are getting hammered by war and high oil, leading to deep oversold conditions. Expect a bounce once things calm down. 9
Elon Musk details Digital Optimus running on all AI4-equipped Tesla vehicles for office tasks, plus plans to deploy millions of Digital Optimus units across the Supercharger network, converting Tesla vehicles and charging stations into distributed computing resources, all within 6 months. 10
Google Maps upgrades with Gemini 3 powered “Ask Maps” for natural language queries (e.g., “public tennis courts with lights tonight?”), launching first in the US and India. The India focus prompts a strategic question. 11
$NTR has run 60% in a year, still targeting $100+. Long-term positions are held, monitored, and allowed to work. 12
$WDC paydays booked at good percentage, settling into full swing with cushion. 13
Watching if $DKS can hold the $200 roll level, still holding full position plus paydays. 14
$SPY hit the lower channel, suggesting calls are the play. 15
Successfully sold $ORCL and $PATH put credit spreads (PCS); planning to sell $ADBE PCS today. 16
Main trading portfolio year-to-date return is skewed by a $75k deposit last month, still performing “not too shabby.” 17
My trading style is 90% common share long/short and options writing (CSPs, Naked calls, PCSs, CCSs), typically with 1-3 week expirations. Options writing is preferred for less stress. 18