NYSE Oscillator is extremely oversold, signaling a violent rally incoming with a high probability of a deep red to strong green close soon, based on historical accuracy in Apr 2025, Dec 2024, Apr 2024, Aug 2023, Mar 2023, Sept 2022. Watch $SPY, $QQQ. 1
$SPY’s candlestick is almost entirely outside the lower Bollinger Bands, while the NYMO sits at April 2025 lows, suggesting a short term bounce. Futures are showing a lil promise. 2
Bitcoin is okay, with 60k identified as strong support. 5
Reflecting on the 312 crash in $BTC, liquidity dried up on Bitmex, with millions in liquidation orders appearing. A zero-bound scenario felt plausible, believing 3000 was no bottom. 6
$AXTI shows signs of exhaustion and MACD/RSI divergences, signaling a potential SHORT setup for a pullback play despite recent impressive Relative Strength. 7
$LULU is hitting fresh multi yr low, nearing Covid lows. $ADBE has breached Covid lows and is near April 2019 lows. These were previously favored by Michael Burry. 8
$JPM is on its 7th consecutive day below the 200dma (tomorrow), a streak not seen since Oct 2022 lows. A bounce in Financials requires its leader to step up. 9
$GDX is back to January 14th levels, while $GLD remains 10% above its January 14th levels. This suggests gold miners might be signaling a lead for the yellow metal. 10
Shift focus from front-month oil futures ($cl1!) to #clz2026 (December 2026 crude oil futures). Consider long-term blockade beneficiaries like $cf, $cvx, $oxy, $xle. 11
The US unemployment rate is poised to rise further. 11% of US small businesses cite poor sales as their top problem in February, near 2020 highs, ranking 4th behind taxes, labor quality, and inflation. 12
China’s exports surged +21.8% YoY in January and February 2026 (highest in 3 years), up from +6.6% in December. Imports also climbed +19.8% YoY. Global trade accelerating. 13
China Fabs face potentially bigger trouble than $TSM, having already been cut off from American Helium supply. 14
xAI aims to rapidly catch up in AI programming, indicated by the recruitment of key Cursor personnel Andrew and Jason shortly after Elon Musk’s interest in Cursor CEO on February 8th. This signals a potential investment or acquisition play. 15
TSMC’s COUPE is an industry-leadingCPO (Co-packaged Optics) solution, integrating Electronic Integrated Circuits (EIC) and Photonic Integrated Circuits (PIC) within the same package. 16
Apple may pursue an aggressive pricing strategy for its foldable iPhone, potentially dropping from $2,400 to $2,000. Samsung may respond by holding Galaxy Fold Z8 prices steady. 17
BESI, a Dutch equipment maker, draws takeover interest amid surging advanced semiconductor packaging demand. Lam Research and AMAT are eyed as potential acquirers, building on existing partnerships. 18
Avoid seeking vanity-driven attention for trading ideas. If an idea gains widespread recognition, the trade becomes crowded, increasing risk of A-kill (sharp reversal/flush out). 19
SpaceX is positioning for the largest IPO in history, prompting discussions with major index providers to potentially waive the standard one-year waiting period for inclusion into indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. 20