SPX faces a critical test: Daily Sentiment Index hit 22, the lowest since April 2025. Historical data suggests such depressed levels often mark market bottoms 22.
VIX caution: The index hasn’t dropped below 20 throughout March, a rarity that has only occurred 15 times since 2011, mostly during the 2020 Covid crash 23.
Fear & Greed: Currently at 14.6, signaling ‘Extreme Fear’. This is a 50.9-point drop since January and the lowest reading since November 29.
Technical Outlook: Analyzing 200dma breakdowns over the last 11 years reveals a recurring pattern: initial bounces to retest the 200dma followed by failures and further significant downside 24.
Inequality Risk: The top 1% currently holds the largest wealth share in nearly 90 years. Rising food and energy costs amid this extreme inequality heighten the risk of social unrest similar to the ‘Arab Spring’ 30.
IREN: Value proposition centered on a ~$10B MSFT deal and 4.5 GW of secured power capacity. Path to profitability includes over $1B in operating profit by 2028, supported by an order of 50K NVDA B300 GPUs 4.
PLTR: Maven AI system upgrade to ‘program of record’ secures long-term federal funding and expansion across all US military branches, acting as a major fundamental catalyst 19.
RKLB: Expanding client base with first dedicated Electron mission for the European Space Agency to deploy navigation satellites, marking a new milestone in LEO operations 26.
Risk Management: During high-volatility, macro-driven markets, prioritize ‘high growth, high profitability, low PE’ stocks to ensure long-term stability 5. Focus on underlying business fundamentals and earnings growth rather than temporary market noise 28.