📉 Macro & Geopolitical Volatility

  • The US 20Y Note Yield climbing above 5.00% signals extreme pressure, with projections for 7% mortgage rates and $4.00 gas prices imminent 1.
  • Markets are being driven by reactionary geopolitical headlines; the S&P 500 surged +240 points (adding $2 trillion in market cap) in just 6 minutes following unverified claims of US-Iran peace talks, only to face immediate confusion upon Iran’s denial 2.
  • Strategic reality suggests that bombing Iranian power plants would be “strategic suicide” due to the retaliatory risk to Gulf desalination infrastructure, forcing a predictable walk-back of aggressive threats 3.
  • Bond markets, rather than oil prices, have become the primary constraint dictating the administration’s policy interventions 4.

đź’ˇ Market Technicals & Strategy

  • Attempting to time the absolute bottom is hubris; a more sustainable approach involves scaling into historically oversold positions rather than trying to hit a precise entry point 5.
  • Simple moving averages are merely “invisible lines” lacking price memory and should not be treated as objective support or resistance levels 6.

🏗️ AI & Infrastructure Growth

  • NVDA is spearheading a collaborative model with utilities like AES, CEG, NEE, and VST to integrate AI factories with on-site power and storage, targeting 100 GW of additional US capacity 7.
  • ASTS is formalizing space-based cellular broadband with a definitive agreement with Singapore’s DSTA, targeting mission-critical and remote coverage expansion 8.
  • ONDS is consolidating its position in the stratospheric intelligence sector through the acquisition of World View, leveraging 140+ previous flight operations to bridge ground-to-space sensing 9.

đź’° Institutional Activity

  • Tom Lee’s BMNR is aggressively accumulating Ethereum, now holding ~3.9% of total supply (approx. 4.66M ETH) after adding 65K ETH last week 10.