📊 Market Technical Analysis

SPX has gone 14 trading days without a decent up day where stocks closed higher than where they opened. Historical comparison with 2025 tariffs crash, 2022 bear market, 2020 Covid crash, 2018 crash, and GFC crash shows nothing similar. 引用[1]
S&P 500 is 8% off the highs. Very strong support level at 6000-6100. Ultimate low/bottom level at 5900. 引用[2]
Historical pattern shows $SPX has only had TWO consecutive red years since 1941: 1973-1974 and 2000-2002. Average annual total return after a red year is +25.8%. 引用[3]

🔄 Sentiment & Positioning

Macro AI bull cycle isn’t at the top. Pullbacks driven by fear in macro bull markets reset sentiment and create new buyers. When everyone is already invested and bullish, there’s nobody left to buy. 引用[4]
Over the last 2-3 weeks: Vol Blow Out, Breadth Triggers, and now likely Positioning and Sentiment hurdles. 引用[5]

Old school on-chain models suggest BTC bottom between $46k-$54k. Orange line (capital stored in BTC) has been leaving since November. CVDD Floor Model climbing over time, at $45.5k right now. 引用[6]

“Big Beautiful Deficits” about to shift to “Massive Magnificent Deficits.” 引用[7]

Memory stock price decline: Samsung Electronics down 3.9%, SK Hynix down 5.6% as of 10:30 AM. D5 16G spot prices peaked on March 19 and have since corrected. 引用[8]
$FNMA $FMCC watchlist names - “miss THIS Bill Ackman that gave normies stock tips.” 引用[9]

Tesla Robotaxi operated unsupervised in Mesa, Arizona. Vehicle appeared staffed on tracker but was actually driverless. Trip took 9 minutes, covered 2.5 miles (≈4km), charged $6.5. Suggests Tesla is progressively removing safety drivers. 引用[10]