📉 Macro & Market Strategy

Trump equals volatility. Volatility equals pullbacks. Pullbacks are your friend. Stay simple. 1
VIX is screaming risk. Closing around ~30 puts it in the 93.1 percentile historically. Rare territory for volatility. 22
Historical backtesting against 2018 or 2022 is flawed. Current market dynamics and leadership profiles are not carbon copies. 16

🚀 Semi & AI Infrastructure

$AMD is the conviction buy of the month. Betting on a 200% return over a 3-year horizon. 2
The $NVDA rumor about moving to a 2-die design is being misinterpreted. Lower integration actually increases the need for high-speed interconnect and memory as inference demand explodes. Bear logic on $MU and $LITE makes zero sense. 26 29
Cutting exposure on $LITE, $MU, and $INTC due to ugly price action. Looking to buy back $MU if it reclaims the 50d EMA. 9
Entering the ‘Liu Deyin line’ zone for AI infrastructure plays including $WDC, $AVGO, and $COHR. 21

$MSFT is cementing its role as the enterprise AI interface layer. Monetizing through the ‘Critique’ multi-model system. 10
Time to go long with $META and $MSFT LEAPS. Both names are sitting at nearly 40% drawdowns from all-time highs. 13

Geopolitical flows are hitting the pump. Oil is pricing in Strait of Hormuz risks. 4
Issues in the Aluminum market are starting to surface. Keep a close eye on $AA. 11
Stacking Gold $GLD at current levels despite the risk. 25

Big trouble for $SOFI. Muddy Waters alleges a $312M loan was misclassified. Could lead to a $1B EBITDA restatement and tank capital ratios. 5
$MSTR is showing early signs of bottoming. $100 is the psychological line in the sand. $BTC must hold $60k for a real relief rally. 28