🌪️ Market Sentiment & Macro Logic

Fear & Greed Index has plunged into single digits. We are in absolute washout territory. 25
High-conviction divergence: $SPX dropped -0.40% while $VIX crashed -1.40%. This price action is abnormal and worth watching. 4
$QQQ monthly volume is hitting its highest level since May 2022. This signals a massive liquidity event or capitulation. 11
Stop hunting for the bottom tick. The biggest gainers rarely come from buying the exact low; focus on the trend instead. 23
Fundamental floor: Stocks need to stop going down before they can even think about going up. 17

⚡ Semiconductor & AI Infrastructure

$AVGO is back at its tariff-war low valuation multiple. A significant de-rating has occurred. 1
AI risk/reward is looking attractive again. Token consumption is accelerating, and GPU rental prices are going vertical while tech valuations have reset. 21
Supply chain intel on Rubin Ultra: It’s likely a 2-die configuration, diverging from the market’s 4-die expectation. 13
Inventory alert: Memory module fire sales are happening in Huaqiangbei. DDR5 spot prices for 32GB modules have crashed up to 30% in a single week. 22
$SMH vs $SOXX: $SMH is more concentrated with $NVDA at 17.7% and $TSM at 11.4%. Choose $SMH if you want focused exposure, $SOXX for broader semi coverage. 7

$RKLB’s German approval for the Mynaric acquisition is a major strategic win. It adds high-speed optical comms to their stack and establishes a European footprint. 5
$SPY target: Watching for a move to $645 by mid-week, bouncing off blue line support to retest purple line resistance. 12
Buying the $GOOGL dip at 240 is a high-probability buy level for those with a 2026 horizon. 9
Speculative play on $VCX: Bought a small position for a one-day bounce. Even with the heavy premium to NAV, the technicals look ready for a quick pop. 8
History repeating: $SPX has returned to the same levels seen in July 2025. It’s a reverse mirror image of previous price action. 18