🚀 Semiconductor & Hardware Sector

$AVGO is currently trading back at its tariff-war low valuation multiple. Deep value territory. 1
$RKLB acquisition of Mynaric is a strategic play. It secures my first European footprint and integrates high-speed optical communications into the vertical space stack. 2
Between $SMH and $SOXX, $SMH is the concentrated bet. $NVDA at 17.7% and $TSM at 11.4% means the top 10 holdings dictate 75% of the move. 3
The Rubin Ultra chip architecture is likely a 2-die configuration to match TSMC output, though a 2+2 die version exists. 4
Memory spot prices are in a freefall. DDR5 modules in Huaqiangbei are seeing fire sales, with some 32GB models crashing 30% in just a week. 5
Risk/reward in Tech remains attractive. Token consumption is accelerating while GPU rental prices go vertical. 6

📊 Market Sentiment & Technical Analysis

Looking for $SPY to bounce off $645 support by Wednesday to retest the purple line resistance. 7
$SPX is showing a “Reverse Mirror Image Deja Vu.” Prices are back to those critical July 2025 levels. 8
Markets are weird when $SPX drops -0.40% but $VIX dumps -1.40%. Shady divergence. 9
Closed my shorts today. Hoping $SPY gaps over $628 tomorrow for some relief. 10
Basic market axiom: Stocks need to stop going down before they can start going up. Patience is the play. 11

Mentally pinning my buy levels for 2026. $GOOGL at $240 is a high-conviction dip buy. 12
Snagged a speculative position in $VCX after hours. It’s trading at a hefty premium to NAV, but I’m hunting for a quick one-day bounce. 13
Forget bottom-ticking. My biggest gainers almost never come from buying the absolute low. Focus on the trend. 14
Leveraged ETFs like $SOXL carry massive decay risk. Over a 5-year horizon, they can underperform 1x ETFs like $SOXX. Know your risks. 15
Definition of “Long-term”: We’re talking years, not months. Adjust your timeframe expectations. 16