📊 Market Sentiment & Macro Strategy

Market extreme panic is here—the Fear & Greed Index just plunged into single digits, signaling a massive sentiment washout. 25
Stop obsessing over the perfect entry; the biggest gainers rarely come from buying the exact bottom tick. 23
Identifying a “Reverse Mirror Image” pattern as prices return to July 2025 levels. 18
Logic 101: Stocks need to stop going down before they can start going up; look for the bleed to halt first. 17
2026 will reward the patient. I’m pinning mental buy levels now, specifically eyeing a $GOOGL dip to 240 as a prime entry. 9

⚡ Semiconductor & Tech Analysis

$AVGO is currently a steal, trading back at its tariff-war low valuation multiple. 1
Massive fire sale in the memory market—Huaqiangbei spot prices for 32GB DDR5 modules crashed up to 30% in a single week. 22
Contrary to market rumors of a 4-die setup, I believe NVIDIA Rubin Ultra is a 2-die configuration, with TSMC prepping both 2-die and 2+2 die versions. 13
The risk/reward for Big Tech looks juicy again as token consumption accelerates and GPU rental prices go vertical. 21
Choosing between ETFs: $SMH is the high-concentration play ($NVDA 17.7%, $TSM 11.4%), while leveraged $SOXL has actually underperformed the vanilla $SOXX over the last five years. 7 19

Eyeing $SPY at $645 by mid-week; looking for a bounce off “blue line support” to retest “purple line resistance.” 12
$QQQ is seeing massive capitulation or rotation—monthly volume is on track to hit its highest level since May 2022. 11
Bizarre divergence today: $SPX down 0.40% while $VIX actually dropped 1.40%. Market plumbing is acting up. 4
Just closed out a heavy batch of shorts; hoping for a $SPY gap up over $628 tomorrow. 2

$RKLB acquiring Mynaric is a strategic masterstroke; it secures high-speed optical comms for its vertical stack and lands them a European footprint. 5
Taking a speculative “subway sandwich” sized position in $VCX after-hours, betting on a one-day bounce despite the heavy premium to NAV. 8
Watching $USO rip in after-hours. Realizing the ultimate missed opportunity was not going “full port” when oil hit -$37/barrel. 6