Potential bullish divergence forming. NYMO hit oversold territory last week while NAMO lags. Indices closed red to extend the selloff, but internal breadth suggests a potential reversal. 1
$SPY eyes $645 by Wednesday. Price is bouncing off the blue line support to retest the purple line resistance. 8
Critical support zones identified at 320-325 and 340-350. While the latter is a major level of interest, buyers remain hesitant to step in at current levels. 7
Market confidence has been decimated. The expected “Spring Festival” rally has turned into a “Summer Calamity.” Breakdown signals have been flashing since February. 15
$BTC has transitioned into a macro asset. Price action is now dictated by global macro factors rather than crypto-specific catalysts. This stability in factor shifts favors option sellers. 2
Trump’s “fake TACO” posts are actively pumping S&P futures. Market is reacting to headlines regarding Iran military actions and potential de-escalation. 5
Geopolitical relief rally underway. Futures are climbing on reports that the administration is willing to wind down the Iran conflict even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, provided Iran’s missile stockpiles are neutralized. 2629
April seasonality remains elite. The month has closed green in 10 of the last 13 years (77% win rate). Since 2005, specific technical setups have signaled high-probability gains. 22
Current drawdown resembles the “Tariff Crash.” Market is hitting the -10% peak-to-trough threshold, which historically sets the stage for a Dead Cat Bounce (DCB) or meaningful recovery. 10
Timing the market is a fool’s errand. S&P 500 gained 17% in 2025; missing just a few key days, like the April 9th bottom, significantly erodes total returns. 13
Packaging bottlenecks ahead. Warpage issues with Rubin Ultra may accelerate the industry-wide adoption of CoPoS. 9
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is hiking FC-BGA prices. Operating profit is projected to skyrocket 185% this year due to high-performance substrate demand. 12
$NVDA remains the ultimate outlier. Scaling operating income from $4B to $130B in under three years demonstrates the power of a dominant secular position. 28
China’s March official Manufacturing PMI beat expectations. While production slowed, new orders and export orders showed significant strength above seasonal trends. GDP forecasts are being revised upward toward 5%. 16