📊 Market Technical Analysis

  • $SPY bounced hard, wiping out the last 2.5 days of selling. Key resistance at $643 hold needed, followed by $652 then $670. 引用[1]
  • $SPX closed March down 5.05%, worst month since last March. The move looks like a classic dead cat bounce — still in a downtrend, now retesting the orange line breakdown with two confluence points of resistance. 引用[2]

🔮 April Market Prediction

  • April will be a green month. Historical data: green 10 of last 13 times, and 6 of last 7 times when March was red. 引用[3]
  • Bullish confirmation requires $SPY closing above 650, $SPX above 6520, $SMH 375-380, and $CL dipping under 100. Need to wait until end of next week for confirmation. 引用[4]

🐂 Market Breadth & Momentum

  • Today’s face-melting rally — best day in 10 months:
    • $AEHR +22%, $MRVL +13%, $ASTS +12%, $RKLB +12%, $BE +11%, $HIMS +11%, $NBIS +11%, $ONDS +11%, $ARM +9%, $BMNR +8%, $PLTR +7%, $INTC +7%, $MELI +7%, $META +7%, $TSM +6%, $NVDA +5% 引用[5]
  • Surge日 often follows big drops — bottom-cutting risks missing the snapback. 引用[6]
  • Fear gauge reading 6-9 tomorrow — probably not the best entry timing. 引用[7]

🛢️ Commodities Anomaly

  • $USO only -2% today — counterintuitive for a massive risk-on day, should be down 7-8%. Something’s off with oil. 引用[8]
  • 6,600 as resistance if Iran situation is real; need $CL <100 as confirmation. 引用[9]

🤖 AI Infrastructure Plays

  • $NVDA invested $2B in $MRVL — TAM for networking and custom silicon entering an inference boom. NVDA becoming the platform layer for distributed AI factory architecture built around its networking fabric. 引用[10]
  • Storage is NOT a commodity anymore. AI inference requires KV-cache storage across phones, glasses, robots, autonomous driving — demand is 2+ orders of magnitude above traditional needs. Current agent adoption is minimal but storage gap already visible. 引用[11]
  • $NBIS building a 310 MW AI factory in Finland, first capacity 2027 — one of Europe’s largest. 引用[12]

💰 Fintech Growth

  • $HOOD Robinhood Banking crossed $1.5B in deposits from ~100K funded customers, up ~50% in just 3 weeks. 引用[13]

🎯 High-Conviction Setups

  • $GLW: Reversal off 50-day MA, printing an inside day candle. Watch for upside follow-through — direct beneficiary of AI integration ecosystem. Target $160. 引用[14]

📈 Fundamentals & Macro

  • AI fundamentals exceed most people’s recognition, with acceleration still increasing. 引用[15]