Crypto emerged as the safe haven since the US-Iran conflict erupted: Ethereum +9%, Bitcoin +4%, while S&P 500 -5% and Gold -12%. A classic risk-off rotation into digital assets. 19
Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index hitting levels not seen since late 2023—analysts massively underestimated the economic momentum heading into the Iran war. 14
Iran’s new regime president, seen as more pragmatic than predecessors, has requested a ceasefire. The US response hinges on Strait of Hormuz being “open, free, and clear”—Tehran responded that only Iran and Oman will decide the strait’s future. 21, 23
$LMND is forming a new market consensus—soon, whenever people think about insuring Tesla/FSD, they’ll first想到Lemonade. This narrative is building. Elon dropping free ads for Lemonade on FSD safety creates a win-win dynamic. 7, 9
Disruptive tech transitions are non-negotiable—Nokia with smartphones, Ford with EVs, Walmart with e-commerce. It’s not just a race-to-bottom price war. It requires telematics, connectivity, and fundamental operational overhauls that incumbents struggle to execute. 18
$TEM’s ALERT trial hit primary endpoint: AI-driven alerts improved heart valve disease identification/treatment. Patients 27% more likely to receive evaluation, valve procedures rose 40% within 90 days. Real-world AI impact in action. 13
$APLD amended $CRWV data center leases, shifting portions of ELN-02 and ELN-03 to a CoreWeave subsidiary. The revised structure adds unconditional parent guarantees from CoreWeave plus a $50M letter of credit—meaningful credit backing improvement. 17
$NKE going through its largest drawdown in ~30 years. Brutal irony: while Nike told the world “Just Do It,” management spent years hesitating on product strategy while Hoka and On Running—barely relevant a decade ago—ceded cultural relevance. 24
$LLY once-daily weight loss pill just received FDA approval. Insured patients may pay as little as $25/month; self-pay ranges $149-$349 depending on dose. 28
SpaceX has confidentially filed for IPO. Polymarket showing $X as most likely ticker. Interestingly, ~$1.2M has been wagered on the 1% chance it ends up being $SEX. 26, 29