🌍 Macro Strategy & Portfolio Allocation

Stocks and Energy have replaced the traditional 60/40 portfolio model in the post-Covid era. 4
Running a 40% Tech + 10% Gold allocation. Maintaining a hedge with $SPY/$QQQ puts since $SPX hasn’t reclaimed the 21d EMA; watching oil/bond traders as the smart money. 18
Gold is a superior safe bet currently. If war escalates and oil prices stay high, the market will price in demand destruction and recession, causing real yields to drop and gold to outperform long bonds. 26

📊 Technical Outlook & Market Cycles

$SPX is ripping, up nearly 5% unabated since yesterday’s pre-market. A major test looms as it sits inches away from the 200dma. 12
Current price action puts $SPX on pace for its best first trading day of April since 2009. 30
Chart fractals reveal striking similarities between the 2025 and 2026 cycles: both followed a sideways-drop-bounce sequence. 21
The lunch hour squeeze is back on $SPY, keeping the “48 hours of glory” trend on track. 7

$META is a monster, reclaiming all court-decision losses in record time. This is a “LEAPS and chill” play for the next 12 months. 9 10
Adding $NKE to the “LEAPS and chill” conviction list starting today. 20
Tesla FSD 14.3 represents the final piece of the puzzle. It shifts the system toward reasoning and reinforcement learning, moving the software toward a “sentient” decision-making state. 16

Stop trading the middle of a range. Trade executions must align with market conditions; wait for a trend and play only the strongest support and resistance. 5
The market is designed to fool most people most of the time. Remember: Tops are a process; bottoms are an event. Never short at support and let long-term accounts sit untouched. 8 29

Aluminum smelting is not a simple heating process. The cell contains dozens of tons of molten electrolyte at 960°C. You cannot simply drain the aluminum, as it exists only as a thin layer at the bottom of the electrolyte mass. 27