I’m calling the current move to 6550-6600 a sucker rally. My playbook involves a rounded top leading to a breakdown, followed by a brief bounce and then a final leg down 1.
The Nasdaq move to 574 confirms we’re winning today.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 01:19)
I am pivoting to Hard Assets as the Fed signals it is willing to tolerate inflation while keeping its “toolbox” open. 13
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/30 23:51)
Oil prices are reversing higher at lightning speed. The Iran situation and Strait of Hormuz risks are flowing directly into the real economy, hitting household budgets as fuel relief vanishes. 30
Energy stocks are making historical runs.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 00:14)
Trump equals volatility. Volatility equals pullbacks. Pullbacks are your friend. Stay simple. 1
VIX is screaming risk. Closing around ~30 puts it in the 93.1 percentile historically. Rare territory for volatility. [22](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/30 21:59)
$SPY and $QQQ could rebound to test the 200-day moving average, potentially closing slightly above it, before the next drop. Historical precedent: every major crash (including the dot-com bubble) initially pulled back above the 200dma. [3](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/29 02:38)
An -84% drawdown is portfolio death math: getting back to breakeven requires +525%. That frames how brutal deep losses are and why avoiding catastrophic drawdowns matters more than chasing upside. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/28 04:44)
US oil above $100/barrel is not just a headline risk. If these levels hold for another 2 months, CPI is modeled to rise to ~3.3%, which would mark the highest US inflation reading since May 2024. That setup reopens inflation pressure just as markets are already under stress.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/27 21:37)
$META is not just shipping another research model. TRIBE v2 points to a proprietary map of human attention and perception, built from 500+ hours of fMRI data across 700+ people.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/25 18:36)
Gold Market: $GLD AUM has doubled in less than a year to $181 billion, sitting at record highs. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/24 07:16)
Market Indices: The $SPX saw a constructive start for bulls, though end-of-day selling persisted. Key overhead resistance lies at the 200dma and the descending channel 2036184255370502382.