Prediction markets consistently identify skilled participants, with some showing uncanny accuracy on events like the halftime show 1. Prediction markets themselves emerge as the ultimate winners in major events [7](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/09 00:07)
Near market bottoms, specific indicators or patterns emerge 1.
The current market downturn is distinct from the “crash” observed in ‘21-‘22 13.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/07 00:51)
Market volatility is extreme beneath the surface. Average S&P 500 stock volatility is 7x higher than the index itself. This ratio has doubled in 2 weeks since 2022. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/06 22:49)
$NVDA is leading the 2026 charge, fueled by massive CapEx commitments: $AMZN ($200B), $GOOGL ($180B), $META ($125B), $MSFT ($118B). 引用[1]
$AMZN’s ad unit alone commands a ~$450B valuation, priced at ~15x EBITDA.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/06 05:56)
The small-cap Momentum Index is ripping this week, signaling broader market dynamics. Reference 1
The NYSE Advance-Decline closed at its highest level ever yesterday, a significant bullish signal. [Reference 2](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/06 03:36)
Big gains don’t require nailing the exact bottom or catching falling knives 1.
Cutting a long-time loser brings relief, even if it’s near a perceived bottom 5.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/06 01:02)
$SPY faces a predicted 5% pullback between now and March; it’s not a catastrophic crash, but market fear could amplify its perception. 2
VIX futures are curling up, with spot higher than 1-month futures.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/05 12:17)
$JPM saw a “beautiful bounce,” approaching $320. 引用[1]
Market sentiment rapidly shifting; tech moved from “most-loved” to “least-favored,” ending easy money.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/05 10:37)
$GOOGL Gemini’s deep embedding in leading SaaS workflows signals a positive industry trend, driving usage and productivity. AI demand remains supply-constrained, pushing multi-year capex and in-house solutions. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/04 05:29)
Market shows clear risk-off sentiment, with $XLP up +2% and $XLK down -2%, a pattern historically seen in the 2000-2001 dot-com bust and January 2025 before the Trump tariffs crash. 引用[1]