Bitcoin prices actually rose in March—the first monthly gain since September. A rare green month amid broader geopolitical turmoil. 2
Brazil showed a ton of relative strength in March—much stronger than anticipated. [4](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/04/01 15:14)
The S&P 500’s 2.9% single-day jump—a top-three performance compared to last year—validates the strategy of staying fully invested. However, calling a full reversal is premature. Macro uncertainty persists despite the US-Iran ceasefire rumors. [22](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/04/01 01:42)
The lows for the year aren’t in yet. Anticipate at least a -15% peak-to-trough move this year, which conveniently targets the 6,000 area. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 21:37)
Energy decoupling from the Middle East will be more violent and permanent than the supply chain shift from China. This fundamental shift will redraw global capital maps. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 12:58)
Risk appetite is cratering. The ratio of leveraged long to short ETF volume has hit 1.1, the lowest since the April 2025 “Liberation Day” bottom. Trading activity in leveraged shorts is now effectively at parity with longs. 4
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 01:19)
I am pivoting to Hard Assets as the Fed signals it is willing to tolerate inflation while keeping its “toolbox” open. 13
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/30 23:51)
Oil prices are reversing higher at lightning speed. The Iran situation and Strait of Hormuz risks are flowing directly into the real economy, hitting household budgets as fuel relief vanishes. 30
Energy stocks are making historical runs.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 07:25)
Major indices $SPY, $QQQ, $DIA, and $IWM have all cratered below their 200dma, signaling a structural breakdown in the long-term trend 10.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 01:27)
Powell signals minimal concern regarding inflation, which reinforces the pivot into Hard Assets as a primary defensive play. 1
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/03/31 00:14)
Trump equals volatility. Volatility equals pullbacks. Pullbacks are your friend. Stay simple. 1
VIX is screaming risk. Closing around ~30 puts it in the 93.1 percentile historically. Rare territory for volatility. [22](https://x.