Bonds are crushing major indices YTD; $TLT +3.1%, $DIA +2.4%, $SPY -.2%, $QQQ -1.8%, a divergence not seen in ages. [5](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/14 06:20)
$WMT valuation is stretched. Current P/E is 2x the Maggy 7 (ex-Tesla). This is 50% higher than its historical average. It’s the third highest P/E in 10 years; prior peaks in Oct 2018 and Oct 2021 marked reversals. [引用[1]](https://x.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/14 04:10)
$BTC sees a constructive bounce from $65k, needing to clear $70k for a retest of $75k. 1
US equity market stress is rising beneath the surface: the put-call skew in the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) is up to **0.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/14 00:39)
Market didn’t deliver the expected bounce into the three-day weekend. 2
While CPI appears benign, the widening spread between CPI and PPI since October is a critical inflation signal for stocks, potentially explaining the pea…
Market participants often dismiss positive economic data as fake while readily embracing negative data, indicating a collective desire for recessionary narratives 引用[1].
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/11 02:51)
A bleak picture emerges for lower-income and younger Americans as disappointing holiday retail sales coincide with consumer delinquencies hitting levels not seen since 2017 1.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/11 02:51)
Disappointing holiday retail sales paired with 2017-level consumer delinquencies paints a bleak picture for lower-income and younger Americans. 1
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has gone nowhere since October.
📌 X Insight Update[x_fin] (2026/02/10 08:14)
$SPY and $QQQ have been consolidating in historically tight ranges for 4-5 months, reflected by multi-year tight Bollinger Bands. A violent move is overdue. 4