📈 Market Strategy & Philosophy

  • The core objective is to sell stocks at higher prices than bought, not merely to acquire “good companies”; this distinction is critical for trading success 1.
  • Market narratives often miss the mark; dismissing market strength as “only seven stocks” was amusing, as true breadth required actually counting 7.
  • My watchlist is straightforward, featuring $ARM, $MRNA, $SEGD, $ENPH, $BE, $BA, $VSCO, $VST, $GRNC; the challenge lies in execution 17.
  • Domestic value investors might struggle with Duan Yongping’s recent buys in $CRWV, $CRDO, $TEM, potentially more impactful than traditional “retail cuts” by large state-owned enterprises 26.

💡 Tech & AI Deep Dive

  • Building a bull case for Meta; its AI platform strategy appears underappreciated, questioning the necessity of having the absolute “best LLM” 8.

🌍 Global Markets & Sentiment

  • South America is now drawing attention, spurred by Druckenmiller’s entry into Brazil 12.
  • A “wall of worry” persists in the market 23.
  • Institutional investors are exceptionally bearish on the US Dollar, with net exposure at -35 points—a 14-year low—reminiscent of the April 2025 bottom 29.

📊 Equity & Commodity Analysis

  • The daily chart for oil looks suspicious 18.
  • $NVDA sentiment boosted by a fun “sign”: Jensen Huang and Michael Jordan share a birthday (February 17, 1963) 20.
  • Robinhood ($HOOD) has numerous catalysts for price upside, but market sentiment remains overly tied to Bitcoin movements, despite crypto accounting for only 17% of its revenue 24.
  • $PLTR is climbing pre-market (+3.5%), likely driven by geopolitical tensions 25.
  • $PLTR saw a move from $126 to $137.40, a good bounce from its support area 27.
  • Palantir ($PLTR) jumped after Mizuho’s ‘Outperform’ upgrade and $195 price target, continuing a two-day rally following the Michael Burry headlines, up 3% pre-market 28.