“Boots on the ground” is inevitable, risking further destabilization 9.
Marines are deploying to Iran, signaling an escalation of conflict 10.
US appears to be losing control of the oil market; prices surged above $99/barrel, up nearly +10% this week 12.
A prime opportunity emerges to long oil companies if current geopolitical tensions de-escalate within the next 10 days16.
Odds of a Democrat sweep in midterm elections rose by 10 percentage points to 49% since the Iran war commenced on February 28th 18.
The 10Y Note yield has climbed nearly +35 basis points since the Iran war started on February 28th, pushing mortgage rates higher and pricing out 2026 rate cuts 21.
The S&P 500 has shed -$2 trillion in market cap since the Iran war began 24.
An investment framework offers plays within $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang’s five-layer cake strategy, including $CEG and $VST for the “Energy (The Fuel)” layer 2.
NVIDIA’s upcoming Rubin/Feynman platforms will shift to M10 CCL and orthogonal backplanes to address transmission bottlenecks, moving away from legacy architecture 20.
NVIDIA is diversifying its M10 supply chain, introducing new suppliers from China and Taiwan for testing, reducing sole reliance on EMC (Taiflex) 20.
WUS is poised for dominance, with testing set to begin in 1Q26 driven by its technological edge 20.
Despite current pressures, $SPY and $QQQ remain above their 200-day moving averages, raising questions of true resilience versus a self-fulfilling prophecy 22.
Watch for $SPY and $QQQ to test the 200dma next week, followed by a potential bounce. The bounce’s strength will determine if it signals a true bottom or merely a dead cat bounce before further declines 29.
A practical trading philosophy: if an unconventional technical analysis method yields correct outcomes and profits, it is valid. Focus ultimately on profitability 19.
In the current market, mitigate risk by reducing position size, trading frequency, and screen time to preserve capital for future opportunities 26.